The Everything Prediction Engine — five AI analyst personas debate, 10,000 Monte Carlo worldlines unfold, and superforecasting calibration converges any question into one actionable probability.
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Aug 13, 2026 - Python
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superforecasting
Here are 12 public repositories matching this topic...
Claude skill for China A-share + HK trading: 6 capability modules backed by Tetlock's superforecasting framework. Strategist role only — never executes trades. AKShare-based, default Chinese output.
python quant-trading a-share trading-strategy akshare hk-stock chinese-stock-market claude-skill superforecasting claude-cowork tetlock
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May 2, 2026
Stdlib-only forecasting bot for the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournaments, plus the non-obvious API facts that cost a day to find
python bot calibration forecasting no-dependencies prediction-markets metaculus llm ai-benchmark superforecasting
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Aug 28, 2026 - Python
不确定性前瞻 · A falsifiable forecasting engine: 18 realtime data sources, S/T/O/P reasoning kernel, Brier-calibrated review loop. Not a fortune teller — an epistemically honest predictor.
nodejs javascript prediction uncertainty calibration forecasting zero-dependency futurology noncommercial llm brier-score superforecasting
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Oct 3, 2026 - JavaScript
Rust primitives for probabilistic forecasting and AI agents: Bayesian updates, calibration, scoring, decision theory, and auditable journals.
rust data-science statistics probability scoring-rules scientific-computing forecasting bayesian-inference uncertainty-quantification decision-theory ai-agents probability-calibration probabilistic-forecasting forecast-evaluation brier-score superforecasting
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Sep 17, 2026 - Rust
Cross-harness superforecasting playbook + stdlib-only Python toolkit
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Oct 4, 2026 - Python
Log your forecasts. Resolve them. Find out how good your probabilities actually are. A zero-dependency, local-first calibration journal + practice range for your terminal.
python cli decision-making calibration forecasting rationality zero-dependencies local-first brier-score superforecasting
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Jul 7, 2026 - Python
Thirteen research-attributed forecasting skills for Claude — Brier scoring, calibration decomposition, logit pooling, Bayesian updating, reference classes, conditional trees. Every technique names its research and states its limits.
python statistics decision-making probability calibration forecasting bayesian-inference quantitative-finance uncertainty-quantification prediction-markets claude probabilistic-forecasting metaculus anthropic llm-evaluation agent-skills claude-code brier-score claude-skills superforecasting
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Sep 16, 2026 - Python
Is the best forecaster the most valuable one? Research on AI superforecasting + a first result: accuracy rank and crowd-contribution rank barely correlate, and half a superforecaster panel makes the panel worse.
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Sep 15, 2026 - Python
The quantitative science of how civilizations maintain coherence, accumulate stress, approach phase transitions, and reorganize — with attention to information architecture. A falsifiable, pre-registered, open research program extending cliodynamics.
open-science forecasting research-project dynamical-systems complex-systems computational-social-science preregistration social-science complexity-science phase-transitions social-physics cliodynamics quantitative-history superforecasting morphospace political-instability civilodynamics structural-demographic-theory epistemic-coherence
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Jun 28, 2026 - TeX
A verified map of the AI-forecasting research area: ForecastBench, OpenForecaster, and FutureX — what each measures, what their artifacts really contain, which numbers are current, and where the open problems are.
calibration benchmarks prediction-markets llm-evaluation ai-forecasting forecastbench superforecasting
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Aug 22, 2026 - Python
🧠 Analyze market trends with AI to forecast investments and enhance decision-making using real-time data and advanced analytics.
agent machine-learning ai exchange stock-market stock-price-prediction quantitative-finance arbitrage quantitative-trading autonomous-agents aster solana rag ai-trading polymarket aitradingos superforecasting trading-bot-framwork
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Oct 6, 2026 - Python
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